Reports of an onrushing “Blue Wave” in the November midterm elections may be highly exaggerated. Democrats, who have staked their midterm success on unlimited immigration and opposition to Donald Trump in collaboration with the media and rogue elements within the federal judiciary and intelligence services, have hit quite a few snags in their attempt to regain either of the two houses of Congress.
For one, the DNC is flat broke. Undoubtedly, they’ll be able to raise some quick cash from donors in globo-corporate America who stand to gain from undercutting domestic workers and continuing trade imbalances. Nevertheless, this poses all sorts of organizational and financial difficulties for the DNC and may force them to run on platforms which are totally out of step with the same white working class they cannot continue to alienate.
Secondly, in the Senate, where Republicans maintain a slim majority, the vast majority of seats up for election are currently held by democrats. Winning elections here is crucial, as the loss of even two seats could negate a Republican majority, but the GOP can rest assured that the odds are in their favor here.
The 45-seat lead Republicans have over Democrats in the House provides a bit of cushion. It’s typical and nearly invariable that the President’s party loses seats in the House, but as long as the Republicans run good candidates and continue to gain legislative victories in the near term it seems likely that their lead will shrink but not disappear.
Lastly, poll numbers are looking increasingly good for Republicans according to new generic-ballot data, gaining a one-point lead over Democrats. This while Trump’s approval rating rises, Democrats disappoint their base over immigration, and the Russiagate hoax hemorrhages credibility by the day does not bode well for the vaunted “Blue Wave”.
So long as the Republicans continue to deliver on essential issues and the Russia hoax is continued to be exposed for the fraud it is, Republicans can look to the midterms with non-zero chance of making gains and a fair one at maintaining their majorities. This is, of course, dependent on running good candidates and getting voters to the polls, and November is a long way away – Congressional Republicans, don’t drop the ball now.